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Luiz Hogrefe

AnyUSMCA

Research prototype on explainable origin assessment against versioned trade rules

Research prototype · unpublished

How can origin evidence, material relationships and versioned trade rules be represented so that an assessment is explainable and reconstructable?

Research concept on anylai.eu

Overview

25tests in the repository

AnyUSMCA evaluates a good, its components and their origin evidence against a rule pack with a version. Each condition, such as origin in the territory, regional value content or a tariff shift, is evaluated and recorded with its computation.

A gap is not a failure. When evidence is missing, the determination says so, instead of turning an unknown into a no.

The six prototypes share one application kernel in the AnyLAI repository: cases, a hash-chained event timeline, evidence with provenance and three timestamps, tasks and authority acts. Each prototype adds only its own vocabulary and rules.

An origin graph

An origin graph
Electric motor
  • Stator · Mexico✓ evidence
  • Rotor · United States✓ evidence
  • Magnets · third country✗ no evidence

synthetic reference rule pack

  • Origin in territoryORIGIN_IN_TERRITORYmet
  • Regional value contentREGIONAL_VALUE_CONTENTnot evaluable
  • Tariff shiftTARIFF_SHIFTmet
  • Origin evidence presentORIGIN_EVIDENCE_PRESENTnot evaluable

EVIDENCE_INCOMPLETE

Toggle a component's evidence and watch the determination change.

Text description of the diagram

A good, an electric motor, has three components: a stator from Mexico with evidence, a rotor from the United States with evidence, and magnets from a third country without evidence. Four conditions are evaluated against a synthetic rule pack. While the magnets lack evidence the determination is EVIDENCE_INCOMPLETE; with evidence it becomes CONDITIONS_MET or CONDITIONS_NOT_MET depending on the result.

Building blocks

  • Origin graph

    A good and its components, each with its origin and the evidence for it.

  • Rule pack

    A versioned set of conditions; the bundled one is synthetic and says so.

  • Condition

    Origin in territory, regional value content, tariff shift or origin evidence present.

  • Determination

    CONDITIONS_MET, CONDITIONS_NOT_MET, EVIDENCE_INCOMPLETE, REVIEWED or PENDING.

  • Recorded computation

    The numbers behind a condition, kept so the assessment can be reconstructed.

A missing certificate

  1. 1

    An electric motor is assessed against the synthetic rule pack.

  2. 2

    The stator and rotor carry origin evidence; the magnets do not.

  3. 3

    Regional value content cannot be evaluated for the magnets, so the determination is EVIDENCE_INCOMPLETE, not CONDITIONS_NOT_MET.

  4. 4

    Once a supplier declaration is attached, the conditions are evaluated again and the computation is recorded.

How it differs

  • AnyUSMCA ≠ AnyTraceResearch prototype · unpublished

    AnyTrace follows custody over time. AnyUSMCA evaluates a snapshot of origin evidence against rules.

    AnyTrace

  • AnyUSMCA ≠ AnyVerifyResearch prototype · unpublished

    AnyVerify asks whether evidence supports a claim. AnyUSMCA asks whether rule conditions are met, given the evidence.

    AnyVerify

Status

Research prototype · unpublished

Research only. A prototype in the AnyLAI repository with one synthetic reference rule pack. Unpublished, not deployed, not run on real data.

Limitations

  • It does not determine that goods qualify for anything, and it makes no legal or customs determination.
  • The bundled rule pack is synthetic, not a legal source.
  • Only one level of materials is modelled.

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